United States Senate Election in Indiana, 2012
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United States Senate Election in Indiana, 2012

2012 United States Senate election in Indiana

← 2006 November 6, 2012 2018 →
Turnout58.5%[1]
  Congressman joedonnelly (cropped).jpg StateTreasurerRichardMourdock.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Joe Donnelly Richard Mourdock Andy Horning
Party Democratic Republican Libertarian
Popular vote 1,281,181 1,133,621 145,282
Percentage 50.0% 44.3% 5.7%

Indiana Senate Election Results by County, 2012.svg
County results
Donnelly:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%
Mourdock:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%

U.S. Senator before election

Richard Lugar
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Joe Donnelly
Democratic

The 2012 United States Senate election in Indiana took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Richard Lugar ran for reelection to a seventh term, but was defeated in the primary by Tea Party-backed Richard Mourdock. This is the most recent Senate election where an elected incumbent lost renomination.[2] U.S. Representative Joe Donnelly, a moderate Democrat from Indiana's 2nd congressional district, received his party's nomination after running unopposed in the primary contest, and then defeated both Mourdock and Libertarian Andrew Horning in the general election.

Background and overview

On November 7, 2006, incumbent Richard Lugar was unopposed by any major party candidate as no Democrat filed for the May 2006 primary. He was re-elected to his sixth six-year term with 87.3% of the vote.[3] After the 2012 election, Lugar would have had an even chance, according to Senate Republican Conference rules, to be elected as its president pro tempore.[4] However, the issue was rendered moot with Lugar's primary loss on May 9, 2012, as Indiana state law prohibits candidates from running for an election after losing a primary. Time featured the race in their "Fury of the Senate" article. The article mentioned how Donnelly was lucky that Mourdock won out in the primary against Lugar, a well-liked centrist member of the GOP. Another boost came when Mourdock's remarks regarding rape helped propel Donnelly to victory.[5]

Republican primary

The Republican primary was held on May 8, 2012.

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Campaign

Due to Lugar's unpopularity among some Tea Party voters because of his positions regarding illegal immigration, voting to confirm then-U.S. Supreme Court nominees Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan, the DREAM Act, the START Treaty, some gun control bills, and congressional earmarks, he was challenged by a Tea Party-backed candidate.[11][12]

The Indiana Debate Commission's GOP primary debate with Sen. Richard Lugar and State Treasurer Richard Mourdock was set to air at 7 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, April 11.[13] In a widely published poll taken March 26 to 28, Lugar was still in the lead, but by the time of a second published poll from April 30 to May 1, Mourdock was leading 48% to 38%.[]

Mourdock defeated Senator Lugar in the Republican primary on May 8, 2012.[14][15]

According to Indiana law, Lugar's defeat meant that he would not be permitted to run in the election either as a third party or an independent candidate after he lost the primary.[16]

Endorsements

Richard Lugar
Individuals
Organizations
Richard Mourdock
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Richard
Mourdock
Richard
Lugar
Undecided
Basswood Research (R) July 23-24, 2011 500 ±4.4% 34% 32% 34%
American Viewpoint (R) July 27-28, 2011 600 ±4.0% 31% 45% 23%
Howey Politics/DePauw University March 26-28, 2012 503 ±4.5% 35% 42% 28%
Howey Politics/DePauw University April 30 - May 1, 2012 700 ±3.7% 48% 38% 14%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Mourdock 400,321 60.5
Republican Richard Lugar (incumbent) 261,285 39.5
Total votes 661,606 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Donnelly was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Democratic primary results[48]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joe Donnelly 207,715 100
Total votes 207,715 100

General election

Candidates

Debates

Confirmed debates with Donnelly, Horning and Mourdock are:[50]

Date: Monday, October 15
Broadcast Time: 7 p.m. EDT
City: Indianapolis
Venue: WFYI-TV (in studio/no live audience)

Date: Tuesday, October 23
Broadcast Time: 7 p.m. EDT
City: New Albany
Venue: Paul W. Ogle Cultural & Community Center, Indiana University Southeast (live audience - seating up to 500)

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Joe Donnelly (D) $5,572,319 $5,496,760 $95,578 $0
Richard Mourdock (R) $8,982,053 $8,698,721 $283,332 $0
Andy Horning (L) $4,907 $2,905 $2,005 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[51]

Top contributors

Joe Donnelly Contribution Richard Mourdock Contribution
Faegre Baker Daniels $30,942 Club for Growth $290,815
MacAndrews & Forbes $29,500 Senate Conservatives Fund $58,728
Renco Group $27,400 Koch Industries $30,000
Barnes & Thornburg $22,601 Murray Energy $15,000
University of Notre Dame $20,150 Lucas Oil Products $11,400
MWH Global WPP plc $17,000 ESOP Association $10,750
Eli Lilly and Company $16,912 Blue Cross Blue Shield Association $10,250
Power, Rogers & Smith $16,000 American Bankers Association $10,000
Mid Manhattan PAC $13,750 ExxonMobil $10,000
Patton Boggs LLP $13,083 Citizens United $10,000
Source: Center for Responsive Politics[52]

Top industries

Joe Donnelly Contribution Richard Mourdock Contribution
Lawyers/law firms $463,098 Republican/Conservative PACs $474,661
Leadership PACs $298,000 Leadership PACs $305,607
Retired $192,716 Retired $244,206
Lobbyists $109,987 Oil & gas $132,530
Building trade unions $77,000 Financial institutions $90,200
Financial institutions $100,235 Commercial banks $88,430
Education $91,563 Health professionals $86,567
Building trade unions $63,500 Misc. finance $64,815
Public sector unions $87,000 Manufacturing industry $60,200
Political action committees $63,798 Real estate $58,290
Source: Center for Responsive Politics[53]

Campaign

Pregnancy from rape controversy

Mourdock became embroiled in a controversy after stating that pregnancy from rape is "something that God intended". His remarks were made during a debate on October 23, 2012, while explaining his opposition to abortion even in the case of rape. At the debate Mourdock, when asked what his position on abortion was, responded:

I know there are some who disagree and I respect their point of view but I believe that life begins at conception. The only exception I have to have an abortion is in that case of the life of the mother. I just struggled with it myself for a long time but I came to realize: "Life is that gift from God that I think even if life begins in that horrible situation of rape, that it is something that God intended to happen".[54]

Media speculated that this could affect the outcome of the Senate race and Presidential race[55] and multiple sources noted the similarities with the Todd Akin rape and pregnancy comment controversy.[56][57]

Responding to the criticism, Mourdock issued a statement saying: "God creates life, and that was my point. God does not want rape, and by no means was I suggesting that he does. Rape is a horrible thing, and for anyone to twist my words otherwise is absurd and sick."[58] He was later quoted at a press conference also saying: "I believe God controls the universe. I don't believe biology works in an uncontrolled fashion."[59] He however refused to issue an apology, even while prominent Republicans, including Sen. John McCain, called for him to do so.[60]

Response

A day before the controversy started, a television ad began airing that showed Governor Mitt Romney, the Republican nominee for United States President, supporting Mourdock.[61] The Romney campaign subsequently issued a statement saying "Gov. Romney disagrees with Richard Mourdock's comments, and they do not reflect his views," but did not pull the ad. Senator John Cornyn, chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, said "Richard and I, along with millions of Americans--including even Joe Donnelly--believe that life is a gift from God. To try and construe his words as anything other than a restatement of that belief is irresponsible and ridiculous".[62][63]

Many public Republicans called for Mourdock to apologize for the statement. Sen. John McCain called for him to issue an apology and his support "depends on what he does."[60] Senator Scott Brown refused to state that he supported Mourdock in the election.[64] Rep. Mike Pence, a Republican running for governor of Indiana concurrent to Mourdock's senatorial campaign, urged Mourdock to apologize. "I strongly disagree with the statement made by Richard Mourdock during last night's Senate debate," he said in a statement. "I urge him to apologize."[65]

President Obama stated, "Rape is rape. It is a crime," on the Tonight Show. He continued, "These various distinctions about rape don't make too much sense to me."[66]Dan Parker, chairman of the Indiana Democratic Party, immediately criticized Mourdock, saying: "I'm stunned and ashamed that Richard Mourdock believes God intended rape", and claimed that he is an "extremist" who is out of touch with Indiana.[54]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[67] Tossup November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[68] Lean D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[69] Tilt D November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[70] Tossup November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Richard
Mourdock (R)
Joe
Donnelly (D)
Andrew
Horning (L)
Other Undecided
Howey Politics/DePauw University March 26-28, 2012 503 ± 4.4% 35% 35% 7% -- 23%
Rasmussen Reports May 23-24, 2012 600 ± 4.0% 42% 42% -- 2% 14%
Rasmussen Reports July 31 - August 1, 2012 400 ± 5.0% 42% 40% -- 3% 15%
Market Research Insight August 6-9, 2012 600 ± 4.0% 41% 39% 3% -- 17%
Howey Politics/DePauw University September 19-23, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 38% 40% 7% -- 8%
Rasmussen Reports October 10-11, 2012 600 ± 4.0% 47% 42% -- 2% 8%
Pharos Research October 19-21, 2012 754 ± 3.6% 46% 46% -- -- 8%
Howey Politics/DePauw University October 28-30, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 36% 47% 6% -- 11%
Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2012 600 ± 4.0% 42% 45% 6% -- 6%

Results

On election night, Donnelly won by about six percent. Donnelly performed well in Marion County, home of Indianapolis. Donnelly also won areas with major college campuses, such as Indiana University in Bloomington, Purdue University in Lafayette. Mourdock performed well, as expected in the Indianapolis suburbs, such as Hamilton County. Mourdock conceded defeat to Donnelly at around 11:30 p.m. EST.

United States Senate election in Indiana, 2012[71]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Joe Donnelly 1,281,181 50.04% N/A
Republican Richard Mourdock 1,133,621 44.28% -43.08%
Libertarian Andy Horning 145,282 5.68% -6.91%
n/a Write-ins 18 0.00% -0.06%
Total votes 2,560,102 100.0% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

See also

References

  1. ^ "2012 General Election Turnout and Absentee Report" (PDF). Indiana Secretary of State. November 28, 2012. Retrieved 2017.
  2. ^ Joe Kennedy Isn't Your Usual Upstart Primary Challenger. FiveThrityEight. 24 September 2019.
  3. ^ "Secretary of State: Elections Division: Election Foundation Wide". Indiana Secretary of State. November 7, 2006. Retrieved 2010.
  4. ^ Kamen, Al (September 14, 2010). "GOP Dilemma: Who's on First?". WashingtonPost.com. Retrieved 2010.
  5. ^ "The Senate - Much Fury, Little Change", Time, p. 18, November 19, 2012
  6. ^ Steinhauser, Paul (November 18, 2010). "Lugar picks up re-election efforts". CNN. Retrieved 2010.
  7. ^ Wilson, Charles (January 18, 2011). "Sen. Richard Lugar to seek re-election in 2012". Associated Press. Retrieved 2011.
  8. ^ Higgins, Will (February 22, 2011). "Indiana treasurer Richard Mourdock to run for U.S. Senate seat". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved 2011.
  9. ^ Francisco, Brian (September 14, 2011). "Delph sitting out U.S. Senate race". The Journal Gazette. Retrieved 2011.
  10. ^ Sullivan, Sean (January 3, 2012). "Mourdock Catches a Break in Indiana". National Journal. Archived from the original on January 12, 2012. Retrieved 2012.
  11. ^ Kaminski, Matthew (November 20, 2010). "Dick Lugar vs. the GOP". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 2010.
  12. ^ Shella, Jim (November 12, 2010). "Tea Party sets sights on Dick Lugar". WISH-TV. Archived from the original on March 12, 2012. Retrieved 2010.
  13. ^ "Indiana Debate Commission Announces U.S. Senate Primary Debate Details". Archived from the original on November 6, 2013. Retrieved 2012.
  14. ^ Geiger, Kim (May 9, 2012). "Tea party upstart Mourdock defeats longtime Indiana Sen. Lugar". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 2012.
  15. ^ Nichols, Bill (May 9, 2012). "Indiana primary results: Dick Lugar routed in Senate showdown". Politico. Retrieved 2012.
  16. ^ Peleo-Lazar, Christopher (March 10, 2011). "Could Lugar Run As An Independent?". National Journal. Archived from the original on May 13, 2012. Retrieved 2012.
  17. ^ a b c d e f g h Endorsements | Dick Lugar for U.S. SenateArchived November 21, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
  18. ^ "Santorum endorses in Indiana race". CNN. May 4, 2012.
  19. ^ a b Will, George F. (October 21, 2011). "Richard Lugar, the unlikely target of conservatives". The Washington Post.
  20. ^ a b c "Many Indiana Republican Mayors Endorse Lugar". Archived from the original on November 22, 2011. Retrieved 2011.
  21. ^ a b [1][dead link]
  22. ^ a b [2][dead link]
  23. ^ https://web.archive.org/web/20120320105801/http://www.dicklugar.com/2012/03/luntz-predicts-lugar-re-election. Archived from the original on March 20, 2012. Retrieved 2012. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  24. ^ "McCain vs. Palin in Indiana Senate race". CNN. April 27, 2012.
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  29. ^ Catanese, David (September 23, 2011). "Sharron Angle's first endorsement - David Catanese". Politico.Com. Retrieved 2013.
  30. ^ "Michele Bachmann endorses Richard Mourdock in Indiana Senate race | The Ticket - Yahoo News". news.yahoo.com. May 2, 2012. Retrieved 2013.
  31. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x "Mourdock : Republican : U.S. Senate". Richardmourdock.com. Archived from the original on May 15, 2012. Retrieved 2013.
  32. ^ "Herman Cain Endorses Mourdock Over Lugar : Roll Call Politics". Rollcall.com. August 16, 2011. Retrieved 2013.
  33. ^ "Lugar Rival in Indiana Wins Backing of Steve Forbes : Roll Call Politics". Rollcall.com. May 31, 2011. Retrieved 2013.
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  35. ^ "Defeat the RINOs!". YouTube. February 18, 2012. Retrieved 2013.
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  43. ^ Joseph, Cameron (March 6, 2012). "National Rifle Association will endorse Lugar challenger Wednesday - The Hill's Ballot Box". thehill.com. Retrieved 2013.
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  45. ^ Toeplitz, Shira (May 8, 2011). "Donnelly to Announce Senate Run in Indiana". Roll Call. Retrieved 2012.
  46. ^ Bradner, Eric (February 21, 2011). "Ellsworth's name will not appear on 2012 ballot". Evansville Courier & Press. Retrieved 2011.
  47. ^ "Baron Hill won't seek office in 2012". Associated Press. December 16, 2010. Retrieved 2010.
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  49. ^ Francisco, Brian (September 20, 2011). "Libertarian enters Senate contest". The Journal Gazette. Retrieved 2011.
  50. ^ "Completes Fall Debate Schedule". Indiana Debate Commission. September 11, 2012. Retrieved 2013.
  51. ^ "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance". fec.gov. November 26, 2012. Retrieved 2012.
  52. ^ "Top Contributors 2012 Race: Indiana Senate". opensecrets.org. November 26, 2012. Retrieved 2012.
  53. ^ "Top Industries 2012 Race: Indiana Senate". opensecrets.org. November 26, 2012. Retrieved 2010.
  54. ^ a b Raju, Manu. "Richard Mourdock under fire for rape remarks". Retrieved 2012.
  55. ^ WONG, SCOTT. "Senate 5: Is it over for Mourdock?". Retrieved 2012.
  56. ^ "Richard Mourdock: God at work when rape leads to pregnancy". Associated Press. Archived from the original on October 26, 2012. Retrieved 2012.
  57. ^ McAuliff, Michael (October 23, 2012). "Richard Mourdock On Abortion: Pregnancy From Rape Is 'Something God Intended'". Huffington Post. Retrieved 2012.
  58. ^ Richard Mourdock. "Mourdock press release on controversy". Mourdock Senate Campaign. Archived from the original on January 15, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  59. ^ Krieg, Gregory; Good, Chris. "Mourdock Rape Comment Puts GOP on Defense". ABC News.
  60. ^ a b Lobianco, Tom. "GOP's Mourdock stands by rape, abortion remark". Associated Press. Retrieved 2012.
  61. ^ Lobianco, Tom. "Mourdock: God at work when rape leads to pregnancy". Huffington Post. Retrieved 2012.
  62. ^ Richard Mourdock's response to abortion question provokes controversy in Indiana Senate debate In Indianapolis Star October 24, 2012
  63. ^ "Republican Senate candidate defends rape comment, expresses regret for phrasing". Fox News. October 24, 2012. Retrieved 2013.
  64. ^ "Scott Brown rejects Richard Mourdock's rape comment". Associated Press. Archived from the original on October 27, 2012. Retrieved 2012.
  65. ^ Crittenden, Michael R. (October 24, 2012). "Mourdock's Rape Remark Sets Off Firestorm". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 2012.
  66. ^ Memoli, Michael A. (October 24, 2012). "Obama objects to Mourdock's rape comment, skewers Trump". LA Times. Retrieved 2012.
  67. ^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2018.
  68. ^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved 2018.
  69. ^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved 2018.
  70. ^ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved 2018.
  71. ^ "Election Results". Indiana of Secretary of State. November 28, 2012. Retrieved 2012.

External links

Official campaign websites

  This article uses material from the Wikipedia page available here. It is released under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share-Alike License 3.0.

United_States_Senate_election_in_Indiana,_2012
 



 



 
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