United States Senate Election in West Virginia, 2014
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United States Senate Election in West Virginia, 2014

2014 United States Senate election in West Virginia

← 2008 November 4, 2014 2020 →
  Shelley moore capito (cropped).jpg NatalieTennant7 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Natalie Tennant
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 281,820 156,360
Percentage 62.1% 34.5%

West Virginia Senate Election Results by County, 2014.svg
County results
Moore Capito:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%

The 2014 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic senator Jay Rockefeller decided to retire rather than run for reelection for a sixth term. The Democrats nominated Secretary of State of West Virginia Natalie Tennant and the Republicans nominated U.S. Representative Shelley Moore Capito. It was the thirteenth U.S. Senate election that involved two major party female nominees in U.S. history.[1]

Capito defeated Tennant and became the first female senator elected in West Virginia's history as well as the first Republican elected to the Senate from West Virginia in 58 years.[2] Not only was the 27.4 percent margin the largest for a Republican in a statewide race in West Virginia history,[3] but Tennant's 34.5 percent was the lowest ever recorded for a Democrat in a Senate race in West Virginia.[4] The results of this election were a near complete flip from 2008, in which Democrat Jay Rockefeller received 64% of the vote. This is the first open seat non-special election since 1984.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Sheirl Fletcher, former Republican State Delegate and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008, 2010 and 2012[8]

Declined

Endorsements

Natalie Tennant

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sheirl
Fletcher
David
Harless
Natalie
Tennant
David
Wamsley
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 19-22, 2013 600 ± 4% 8% 3% 51% 4% -- 34%

Results

Democratic primary results[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Natalie Tennant 104,598 77.95%
Democratic Dennis Melton 15,817 11.79%
Democratic David Wamsley 13,773 10.26%
Total votes 134,188 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Rick LeMasters, retired Marine officer and state employee[7][8]
  • Pat McGeehan, former state delegate and former Air Force Intelligence Officer and Captain (running for House of Delegates)[40]
  • Scott Regan, Democratic candidate for the state senate in 2010[7][8]
  • Edwin Vanover, former Bramwell Police Chief and Democratic candidate for the House of Delegates in 2012[8][41]

Declined

Endorsements

Shelley Moore Capito

Politicians

Organizations

Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Shelley
Moore Capito
Rick
Lemasters
Pat
McGeehan
Patrick
Morrisey
Scott
Regan
Edwin
Vanover
Undecided
Harper Polling January 21, 2013 462 ± 4.56% 72.94% -- -- 9.52% -- -- 17.53%
Public Policy Polling September 19-22, 2013 348 ± 5.3% 72% 5% 4% -- 1% 2% 17%
Harper Polling September 24-25, 2013 354 ± 5.21% 77% -- 7% -- -- -- 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Shelley
Moore Capito

conservative
Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 19-22, 2013 348 ± 5.3% 65% 21% 14%

Results

Republican primary results[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Shelley Moore Capito 74,655 87.50%
Republican Matthew Dodrill 7,072 8.29%
Republican Larry Butcher 3,595 4.21%
Total votes 85,322 100.00%

Independents and third parties

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

General election

Debates

A televised debate between Tennant and Capito was held on October 7 in Charleston.[53]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[54] Likely R November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] Safe R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[56] Safe R November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[57] Likely R November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Natalie
Tennant (D)
Shelley Moore
Capito (R)
Other Undecided
West Virginia Poll August 15-22, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 40% 45% -- 15%
Public Policy Polling September 19-22, 2013 1,110 ± 2.9% 36% 50% -- 14%
Harper Polling September 24-25, 2013 640 ± 3.87% 34% 51% -- 15%
Clarity Campaigns January 29-30, 2014 1,727 ± 2.35% 39% 45% -- 16%
Rasmussen Reports February 19-20, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 35% 49% 4% 12%
Vox Populi Polling April 16-17, 2014 571 ± 4.1% 33% 49% -- 19%
Rasmussen Reports May 14-15, 2014 750 ± 4% 39% 48% 5% 9%
West Virginia Poll May 19-22, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 38% 49% -- 13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5-24, 2014 1,750 ± 2.7% 40% 47% 1% 11%
Rasmussen Reports August 19-20, 2014 750 ± 4% 33% 50% -- 17%
West Virginia Poll August 15-23, 2014 401 ± 4.9% 37% 54% -- 9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 - September 2, 2014 1,284 ± 4% 32% 55% 1% 12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 - October 1, 2014 1,066 ± 4% 33% 56% 1% 9%
Rasmussen Reports September 30 - October 1, 2014 750 ± 4% 39% 50% 3% 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16-23, 2014 877 ± 5% 34% 56% 0% 10%

Results

2014 United States Senate election in West Virginia[58]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Shelley Moore Capito 281,820 62.12% +25.86%
Democratic Natalie Tennant 156,360 34.47% -29.27%
Libertarian John Buckley 7,409 1.63% N/A
Mountain Bob Henry Baber 5,504 1.21% N/A
Constitution Phil Hudok 2,566 0.57% N/A
Total votes 453,659 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

See also

References

  1. ^ Ostermeier, Eric (September 17, 2013). "West Virginia 2014 US Senate Race to Feature Rare Matchup". Smart Politics.
  2. ^ "Republican Shelley Moore Capito Wins Senate Seat in WV". ABC News. November 4, 2014.
  3. ^ "Capito resolution would void EPA's existing power plant emission regulations". Ripon Advance. November 19, 2015.
  4. ^ Ostermeier, Eric (November 10, 2014). "Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections". Smart Politics.
  5. ^ a b c Boucher, Dave (January 25, 2014). "No surprises in U.S. Senate race". Charleston Gazette-Mail. Retrieved 2014.
  6. ^ Boucher, Dave (September 15, 2013). "Confirmed: Tennant announces Senate run Tuesday". Charleston Daily Mail. Retrieved 2013.
  7. ^ a b c d e Messina, Lawrence (July 14, 2013). "2014 field growing in W.Va. federal races". Charleston Daily Mail. Archived from the original on July 25, 2013. Retrieved 2012.
  8. ^ a b c d "Candidate listing by office". West Virginia Secretary of State. February 16, 2014. Retrieved 2014.
  9. ^ "Preservati out of Senate race". WV Metro News. June 3, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  10. ^ "West Virginia: Caperton Says He Is Not Interested in Senate Seat". Roll Call. January 15, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  11. ^ Ry Rivard [@ryrivard] (November 27, 2012). "Fmr WV D Chair & #WV02 candidate Mike Callaghan (in email my inbox ate Monday) = interested in Senate if Jay doesn't run & House if Jay does" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  12. ^ Boucher, Dave (April 30, 2013). "Nick Casey launches 2014 US House run". Charleston Daily Mail. Archived from the original on May 7, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  13. ^ "Another Democrat passes on West Virginia Senate race". Washington Post. July 17, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  14. ^ Ali, Ann (November 8, 2013). "WV Auditor Glen Gainer announces run for Congress". State Journal. Archived from the original on December 17, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  15. ^ Kercheval, Hoppy (February 19, 2013). "2014 U.S. Senate race update". WVMetroNews.com. Retrieved 2013.
  16. ^ Wilson, Reid (February 20, 2013). "Carte Goodwin out for 2014". WVMetroNews.com. Retrieved 2013.
  17. ^ a b "Nationwide, Republicans' Congressional Prospects Looking Bright for 2014". Sunshine State News. January 12, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  18. ^ a b Livingston, Abby (January 11, 2013). "West Virginia: Democrats Begin Positioning to Run for Rockefeller's Seat". Roll Call. Retrieved 2013.
  19. ^ a b c d e f g Nyden, Paul J. (September 17, 2013). "Tennant announces run for Senate". The Charleston Gazette. Retrieved 2013.
  20. ^ Harold, Zack (June 3, 2013). "Preservati Out of the 2014 U.S. Senate Race". Charleston Daily Mail. Retrieved 2013.
  21. ^ Livingston, Abby (April 30, 2013). "Rahall Forgoes Senate Run". Roll Call. Retrieved 2013.
  22. ^ "West Virginia Democratic Sen. Jay Rockefeller won't run in 2014 - John Bresnahan". Politico.com. January 11, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  23. ^ "Allen Tackett not running for Jay Rockefeller's US Senate seat". Charleston Daily Mail. July 29, 2013. Archived from the original on August 1, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  24. ^ a b "Rockefeller to retire, giving GOP a prime pickup opportunity". The Hill. January 11, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  25. ^ "West Virginia Senate: Democrats Look for Winner". rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. January 15, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  26. ^ "State Sen. Erik Wells says he won't run for Congress". Charleston Daily Mail. April 26, 2013. Archived from the original on May 15, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  27. ^ Boucher, Dave (November 19, 2013). "Michelle Obama backs Natalie Tennant in US Senate race". Charleston Daily Mail. Archived from the original on December 12, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  28. ^ a b Mattise, Jonathan (June 23, 2014). "Sen. Elizabeth Warren to campaign for Tennant in W.V". The Charleston Gazette. Retrieved 2014.
  29. ^ Harold, Zack (November 26, 2013). "Tennant, Gainer, Rahall get early endorsements from AFT". Charleston Daily Mail. Archived from the original on December 12, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  30. ^ a b "ICYMI: WEST VIRGINIA'S LARGEST NEWSPAPER ENDORSES TENNANT" (PDF). West Virginia Democrats. April 21, 2014. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 17, 2014. Retrieved 2014.
  31. ^ "Natalie Tennant (D-WV) for Senate". Council for a Livable World. Archived from the original on December 16, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  32. ^ "Natalie Tennant". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Archived from the original on June 22, 2014. Retrieved 2014.
  33. ^ Jaffe, Alexandra (September 26, 2013). "EMILY's List endorses Tennant for W.Va. Senate". The Hill. Retrieved 2013.
  34. ^ "The IADLC is proud to officially endorse..." Facebook. November 19, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  35. ^ "2014 Primary Election COPE Endorsements" (PDF). West Virginia AFL-CIO. 2014. Retrieved 2014.[permanent dead link]
  36. ^ "Natalie Tennant U.S. Senate, WV". Women's Political Committee. 2014. Retrieved 2014.[permanent dead link]
  37. ^ Cama, Timothy (September 2, 2014). "Miners union backs Dem in W.Va. Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved 2015.
  38. ^ a b "Statewide Results Primary Election - May 13, 2014 Official Results ". West Virginia Secretary of State. Retrieved 2014.
  39. ^ "Capito Will Challenge Rockefeller". Politicalwire.com. November 25, 2012. Archived from the original on November 29, 2012. Retrieved 2013.
  40. ^ "Elections - Candidate Detail". West Virginia Secretary of State. January 25, 2014. Retrieved 2014.
  41. ^ Johnson, Shauna (August 10, 2013). "Tennant for U.S. Senate?". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved 2013.
  42. ^ "Former candidate Maloney not running for anything, launches think tank". The Charleston Gazette. May 30, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
  43. ^ Livingston, Abby (February 25, 2013). "West Virginia: McKinley Opts Not to Run Against Capito". Roll Call. Retrieved 2013.
  44. ^ "Capito Gets an Early Start on 2014 W.Va. Senate Race : Roll Call Politics". Rollcall.com. Retrieved 2013.
  45. ^ a b Twitter / CapitoforWV: Great to see County Commissioner
  46. ^ [1] Archived October 24, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  47. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "Endorsements for Shelley Moore Capito - Capito for Senate". Archived from the original on October 24, 2014. Retrieved 2013.
  48. ^ Donald J. Trump [@realDonaldTrump] (July 30, 2014). "It's time for Mountain State to have a Senator who will stop Obama's war on coal. This November send DC a message, vote for @CapitoforWV!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  49. ^ "Mountain Party candidate makes 4 in Senate race". The Charleston Gazette. July 31, 2014. Retrieved 2014.
  50. ^ Cardosi, Mandi (June 12, 2014). "5 questions with Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate John Buckley". State Journal. Archived from the original on July 15, 2014. Retrieved 2014.
  51. ^ Winger, Richard (August 22, 2014). "West Virginia Secretary of State Says Constitution Party Petition for U.S. Senate is Valid". Ballot Access News. Retrieved 2014.
  52. ^ Boucher, Dave (April 25, 2013). "Former TV anchor to run for Senate". Charleston Daily Mail. Archived from the original on April 29, 2013. Retrieved 2013.
    "Facebook profile". Facebook.
  53. ^ "Capito, Tennant, others to debate in October". West Virginia MetroNews. August 14, 2014. Retrieved 2014.
  54. ^ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2018.
  55. ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved 2018.
  56. ^ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved 2018.
  57. ^ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved 2018.
  58. ^ [2]. Retrieved December 17, 2014.

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

  This article uses material from the Wikipedia page available here. It is released under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share-Alike License 3.0.

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