2010 Arizona Gubernatorial Election
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2010 Arizona Gubernatorial Election
2010 Arizona gubernatorial election

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  Jan Brewer by Gage Skidmore 5.jpg Terry Goddard by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Jan Brewer Terry Goddard
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 938,934 733,935
Percentage 54.3% 42.4%

Arizona Governor Election Results by County, 2010.svg
County results
Brewer:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%
Goddard:      50-60%      60-70%

Governor before election

Jan Brewer
Republican

Elected Governor

Jan Brewer
Republican

The 2010 Arizona gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010 to elect the Governor of Arizona. Incumbent Republican Jan Brewer ran for a full term. Party primaries were held on August 24, 2010. Jan Brewer won a full term, defeating Arizona Attorney General and Democratic nominee Terry Goddard 54% to 42%.

Background

Democratic Governor Janet Napolitano was term limited and nominated to become Secretary of Homeland Security by President-elect Barack Obama, and was confirmed by the United States Senate on January 20, 2009, resigning as governor the same day.[1] Since Arizona does not have a lieutenant governor, Republican Secretary of State Jan Brewer was first in the state's gubernatorial line of succession and was sworn in as governor upon Napolitano's resignation. Brewer announced on November 5, 2009 that she would seek a full term in 2010.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Republican primary

The primary to select the 2010 Republican nominee for governor of Arizona was held on August 24, 2010.[4][5]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Jan Brewer (inc.) Dean Martin* Buz Mills*
Rasmussen Reports June 16, 2010 72% 12% 16%
Rasmussen Reports[permanent dead link] May 17, 2010 45% 18% 18%
Public Policy Polling April 23-25, 2010 25% 15% 11%
58% 16% 19%
Rasmussen Reports April 13, 2010 26% 12% 18%
Rasmussen Reports March 15, 2010 20% 21% 19%
Rasmussen Reports January 20, 2010 29% 27% --
Rasmussen Reports November 18, 2009 10% 22% --
Public Policy Polling September 21, 2009 39% 26% --
* Dropped out of race after entering to seek the nomination

Results

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jan Brewer (Incumbent) 479,153 81.53
Republican Buz Mills* 51,001 8.68
Republican Dean Martin* 36,012 6.13
Republican Matthew Jette 19,611 3.34
Republican Write-in 1,906 0.32
Total votes 587,683 100
* Dropped out prior to primary, but still appeared on ballot

Libertarian primary

Candidates

  • Ronald Cavanaugh
  • Barry Hess
  • Bruce Olsen
  • Alvin Ray Yount

Results

Libertarian primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Barry Hess 1,303 43.38
Libertarian Bruce Olsen 612 20.37
Libertarian Ronald Cavanaugh 547 18.21
Libertarian Write-in 299 9.95
Libertarian Alvin Ray Yount 243 8.09
Total votes 3,004 100

General election

Candidates

  • Jan Brewer (R), incumbent governor
  • Terry Goddard (D), attorney general
  • Barry Hess (L)
  • Larry Gist (G)

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[11] Likely R October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[12] Lean R October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[13] Lean R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Likely R October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[15] Lean R October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Terry Goddard (D) Jan Brewer (R)
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2010 39% 53%
Public Policy Polling October 23-24, 2010 44% 52%
BRC Polls October 11, 2010 35% 38%
Rasmussen Reports October 3, 2010 39% 55%
Rasmussen Reports September 7, 2010 38% 60%
Rasmussen Reports August 25, 2010 38% 57%
Rasmussen Reports July 21, 2010 37% 56%
Rasmussen Reports June 29, 2010 35% 53%
Rasmussen Reports May 17, 2010 39% 52%
Rasmussen Reports April 27, 2010 40% 48%
Public Policy Polling April 23-25, 2010 47% 44%
Rasmussen Reports April 14, 2010 40% 44%
Rasmussen Reports March 16, 2010 45% 43%
Rasmussen Reports January 20, 2010 43% 42%
Rasmussen Reports November 18, 2009 44% 42%
Rasmussen Reports September 27, 2009 42% 40%
Public Policy Polling September 7, 2009 46% 36%

Debate

On September 1, the first and only debate was held between all four candidates and moderated by Ted Simons. The debate drew national attention after Jan Brewer "stumbled and stammered" through her opening statements. Before the debate the governor had made several comments about there being beheadings in the desert. During the debate Terry Goddard tried to get the governor to admit that it was a false statement. Goddard said quote Jan I'm going to give you an opportunity to admit that was a false statement but of course the governor Steered clear of the question. After the debate reporters were demanding answers, and still she would just not answer the question.[16] After the debate, Brewer stated that she would do no more debates.[17][18]

Results

Arizona gubernatorial election, 2010[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Janice Kay Brewer (inc.) 938,934 54.33% +18.89%
Democratic Samuel Pearson Goddard III 733,935 42.43% -20.11%
Libertarian Barry Hess 38,722 2.24% +0.27%
Green Larry Gist 16,128 0.93%
Write-ins 362 0.02%
Majority 204,999 11.86% -15.28%
Turnout 1,728,081
Republican hold Swing

References

  1. ^ "Governor: Napolitano resigns". The Arizona Guardian. January 20, 2009. Archived from the original on July 21, 2011. Retrieved 2010.
  2. ^ Davenport, Paul (November 5, 2009). "Brewer running for full term as Ariz. governor". The Arizona Republic.
  3. ^ "Terry Goddard for Governor - Arizona". Terrygoddard.org. 2010-08-17. Retrieved .
  4. ^ "Arizona Candidates List". Arizona SOS. August 3, 2010. Archived from the original on 16 July 2010. Retrieved 2010.
  5. ^ a b c "Arizona Gubernatorial Primary Results". Arizona SOS. August 24, 2010. Archived from the original on 27 August 2010. Retrieved 2010.
  6. ^ "Martin drops challenge to Brewer - Jessica Taylor". Politico.Com. Archived from the original on 1 August 2010. Retrieved .
  7. ^ JESSICA TAYLOR. "Mills drops campaign against Brewer - Jessica Taylor". Politico.Com. Archived from the original on 1 August 2010. Retrieved .
  8. ^ Hensley, JJ (May 3, 2010). "Joe Arpaio won't run for Arizona governor". The Arizona Republic.
  9. ^ "Arizona Capitol Times " Blog Archive " Munger drops out of governor's race". Azcapitoltimes.com. Retrieved .
  10. ^ Benson, Matthew; Casey Newton; Mary Jo Pitzl (October 11, 2009). "Political Insider: Symington won't run in '10". The Arizona Republic.
  11. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved 2010.
  12. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved 2010.
  13. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2010.
  14. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved 2010.
  15. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved 2010.
  16. ^ NBC News
  17. ^ http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2010/09/jan-brewer-im-done-with-debates.php
  18. ^ http://azstarnet.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/elections/article_cfb8fb2a-20a9-59d0-9276-ffaf4067b082.html
  19. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2013-09-20. Retrieved .CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)

External links

Debates
Official campaign sites

  This article uses material from the Wikipedia page available here. It is released under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share-Alike License 3.0.

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