2020 Trinidad and Tobago General Election
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2020 Trinidad and Tobago General Election

2020 Trinidad and Tobago general election

← 2015 10 August 2020 (2020-08-10) Next →

All 41 seats in the House of Representatives
21 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout58.04%[1] (Decrease 8.8 pp)
  First party Second party
  KeithRowley.jpg Kamla Persad-Bissesar 2013.jpg
Leader Keith Rowley Kamla Persad-Bissessar
Party PNM UNC
Leader since 26 May 2010 24 January 2010
Leader's seat Diego Martin West Siparia
Last election 23 seats, 51.69% 17 seats, 39.61%
Seats won
Seat change Decrease1 Increase2
Popular vote 322,250 309,188
Percentage 49.08% 47.09%
Swing Decrease 2.60 pp Increase 7.48 pp

Trinidad and Tobago 2020 General Election Results Map.svg
Map showing the seats won by the two parties that won seats in the election. Tobago's seats are shown on the left, Trinidad's seats on the right.

General elections were held in Trinidad and Tobago on Monday, 10 August 2020,[2] to elect 41 members to the 12th Trinidad and Tobago Republican Parliament. It was the 14th election since gaining independence from the United Kingdom in 1962 and the 22nd national election in Trinidad and Tobago ever. Tracy Davidson-Celestine, political leader of the Tobago Council of the People's National Movement (PNM) became the first woman to lead a Tobagonian political party with representation in the House of Representatives. Additionally, two of the three largest parties elected in 2015, the United National Congress (UNC) and the Congress of the People (COP), were led by women.[3]

President Paula-Mae Weekes, with the advice of Prime Minister Keith Rowley, dissolved Parliament and issued the writs for the election on 3 July 2020.[4]

The first-term incumbent People's National Movement (PNM), led by incumbent Prime Minister Keith Rowley, won 22 seats to form a second five-year term majority government by defeating the opposition United National Congress, led by Opposition Leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar.[5][6][7] Her latest in a series of losses at the polls which commenced with the January 2013 Tobago House of Assembly election with the wipeout of her People's Partnership-led administration from the Tobago House of Assembly due to a landslide victory by the Tobago Council of the PNM, losses at the 2013 Trinidadian local elections, St. Joseph and Chaguanas West bye-elections, loss in the 2015 Trinidad and Tobago general election, and subsequent losses in local government bye-elections[8][9] has placed pressure on her to offer her resignation before the 2020 United National Congress leadership election.[10] The UNC finished with 19 seats. The results in six constituencies were subject to recounts, causing the final election results to be delayed by a week.[11] This is the first parliamentary election in Trinidad and Tobago where the result was not finalized the day after the election.[12]

Voters elected the 41 members to the House of Representatives by first-past-the-post voting. Rowley and the new cabinet were sworn in on 19 August 2020.[13]

Electoral system

The 41 members of the House of Representatives are elected by first-past-the-post voting in single-member constituencies. Registered voters must be 18 years and over, must reside in an electoral district/constituency for at least two months prior to the qualifying date, be a citizen of Trinidad and Tobago or a Commonwealth citizen residing legally in Trinidad and Tobago for a period of at least one year.[14]

If one party obtains a majority of seats, then that party is entitled to form the Government, with its leader as Prime Minister. If the election results in no single party having a majority, then there is a hung parliament. In this case, the options for forming the Government are either a minority government or a coalition government.[15]

Parties and candidates

Political parties registered with the Elections and Boundaries Commission (EBC) can contest the general election as a party.[16]

The leader of the party commanding a majority of support in the House of Representatives is the person who is called on by the president to form a government as Prime Minister, while the leader of the largest party or coalition not in government becomes the Leader of the Opposition.[15]

Prior to the election, the People's National Movement, led by Prime Minister Keith Rowley formed a majority government. The largest opposition party was the United National Congress, led by Kamla Persad-Bissessar. The Congress of the People was the sole other party in Parliament, represented by a single MP.

The People's National Movement and the United National Congress have been the two biggest parties, in addition to having supplied every Prime Minister since 1991.[17]

On 14 July 2020, the leader of the Patriotic Front, Mickela Panday, announced that her party will no longer be contesting the 2020 elections due to lack of time to prepare for the August 2020 polls.[18]

The following registered parties are contesting the general election, the People's National Movement is the only party fielding all 41 seats (39 in Trinidad and two in Tobago), 14 parties are contesting seats in Trinidad only and four parties are contesting seats in Tobago only.[19]

Trinidad and Tobago

Party Founded Political position and ideology Leader(s) Leader since Leader's seat Last election At dissolution Contested seats
% party vote Seats
Major party not part of any coalition
PNM 1955 Centre to centre-left
Liberalism, Social liberalism, Nationalism
Keith Rowley May 2010 Diego Martin West
51.69%
41 seats in Trinidad and Tobago

Trinidad only

Party Founded Political position and ideology Leader(s) Leader since Leader's seat Last election At dissolution Contested seats
% party vote Seats
Major party not part of any coalition
UNC 1989 Centre-left
Social democracy, Civic nationalism
Kamla Persad-Bissessar January 2010 Siparia
39.60%
39 seats in Trinidad[20]
Better United Coalition
COP 2006 Centre-left
Reformism
Carolyn Seepersad-Bachan[21] November 2017 None
6.02%
4 seats in Trinidad
DPTT 2002 Steve Alvarez[22] April 2002 None - -
1 seat in Trinidad
TTDF 2019 Nicholas Anthony Williams [23] August 2019[24] None New party
1 seat in Trinidad
Not part of any coalition
PEP 2017 Centre-left to left-wing
Progressivism, Environmentalism, Decentralisation
Phillip Alexander[25] January 2017 None New party
28 seats in Trinidad
THC 2015 Marcus Ramkissoon[26] July 2015 None
0.02%
7 seats in Trinidad
NNV 1994 Muslim interests, Social conservatism Fuad Abu Bakr[23] April 2010 None
0.12%
6 seats in Trinidad
MSJ 2009 Left-wing
Socialism, Labourism, Direct democracy
David Abdulah[27] January 2012[28] None - -
5 seats in Trinidad
MND 2019 Diego Martin regionalism Garvin Nicholas [29] September 2019 None New party
3 seats in Trinidad
NCT 2013 Nalini Dial[30] July 2013 None
0.05%
2 seats in Trinidad
ILP 2013 Rekha Ramjit[31] October 2015 None
0.70%
1 seat in Trinidad
TNP 2017 Valmiki Ramsingh[32] July 2017 None New party
1 seat in Trinidad
UPP 2018 Right-wing
Christian right, Social conservatism
Kenneth Munroe-Brown[33] December 2018 None New party
1 seat in Trinidad
Progressive 2019 Centre to centre-left
Progressivism, Decentralization, Localism
Nikoli Edwards[34] June 2019 None New party
1 seat in Trinidad
NOW 2020 Kirk Waithe[35] January 2020 None New party
1 seat in Trinidad

Tobago only

Party Founded Political position and ideology Leader(s) Leader since Leader's seat Last election At dissolution Contested seats
% party vote Seats
Not part of any coalition
PDP 2016 Tobago regionalism Watson Duke[36] July 2016 None New party
2 seats in Tobago
OTV 2019 Tobago regionalism Hochoy Charles[36] October 2019 None New party
1 seat in Tobago
UTP 2020 Tobago regionalism Nickocy Phillips[37] July 2020 None New party
1 seat in Tobago

Ideology

Significant differences in the programs of the two major parties UNC and PNM cannot be identified. The UNC is traditionally more of an Indo-Trinidadian party, while Afro-Trinidadians and Tobagonians make up the majority of the PNM's base. In Trinidad, however, racial differences play a subordinate role, the dominant subject areas in the media are the stagnating economy and the high rate of violent crime; here both parties claim that they are better suited to combat them.[38] In the closing stages of the election campaign, Prime Minister Rowley and citizens accused the UNC of using racist motives in its advertising campaign.[39]

Some parties only represent regional positions. This applies in particular to the parties PDP and OTV, who are running exclusively in Tobago and advocate for regional interests of the island[36] and the MND, which advocates the interests of the Diego Martin region.[29]

The announcement by the opposition UNC that, in the event of an election victory, would build a "dome" over Trinidad to protect against illegal immigrants, made the election campaign relaxed. Before the UNC made it clear that it meant a radar screen, users of social media picked up the topic and indulged in humorous allusions to domes in films and television series.[40]

Process

The organization of the election was subject to the state Elections and Boundaries Commission (EBC). There were no election observers. Prime Minister Rowley revealed after the election that he had invited observers from CARICOM and the Commonwealth of Nations, but they were unable to pay for the 14-day quarantine required of foreign visitors.[41]

Opinion research in the run-up to the election was carried out by the North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) and the management consultancy HHB Associates, among others. A NACTA poll shortly after the election date was announced, found that, as in most previous elections, only PNM and UNC would play a role.[42] An HHB poll published July 25 in the Trinidad and Tobago Guardian found the ruling PNM at 53% and the UNC at 44%.[43] A NACTA poll from July 25, however, saw the UNC one percentage point ahead.[44] At this point in time, the tendency, known from previous elections, was that Trinidadians with African roots tend to choose the PNM and Trinidadians with Indian roots rather the UNC.

The resignation of former deputy PNM chairwoman Nafeesa Mohammed on July 28, who accused the PNM leadership of arrogance, ignorance and incompetence, caused a media stir.[45] The Leader of the Opposition, former Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar, was threatened with death during the election campaign.[46] Minor parties and bodies called on the President to postpone the election in view of the COVID-19 pandemic, which was also rampant in Trinidad, but their requests were denied.[47] A UNC supporter was stabbed on the sidelines of a UNC election campaign on the Saturday before the election.[48]

The polling stations closed at 6:00 p.m. on election Monday.[49]

Marginal seats

The following lists identify and rank seats by the margin by which the party's candidate finished behind the winning candidate in the 2015 election.

For information purposes only, seats that have changed hands through subsequent by elections have been noted. Seats whose members have changed party allegiance are ignored.

  = appears in two lists
People's National Movement People's Partnership (UNC--COP--TOP)
Marginal
1 Barataria/San Juan 3.18% 1 Moruga/Tableland 2.53%
2 Chaguanas East 7.95% 2 St. Joseph 8.33%
3 Pointe-à-Pierre 8.39% 3 La Horquetta/Talparo 15.56%
4 Mayaro 14.05% 4 Tunapuna 19.13%
5 Cumuto/Manzanilla 15.95% 5 Toco/Sangre Grande 19.20%
6 Fyzabad 18.92% 6 San Fernando West 19.39%
7 Caroni Central 26.11% 7 Point Fortin 20.94%
8 Tabaquite 31.12% 8 Lopinot/Bon Air West 28.10%
9 St. Augustine 33.57% 9 La Brea 33.45%
10 Couva North 34.17% 10 D'Abadie/O'Meara 34.20%
11 Princes Town 35.60% 11 San Fernando East 37.33%
12 Couva South 38.83% 12 Arima 40.12%
13 Caroni East 44.79% 13 Diego Martin North/East 41.40%
14 Oropouche West 48.70% 14 Diego Martin West 55.32%
15 Siparia 51.60% 15 St. Ann's East 56.55%
16 Oropouche East 60.02% 16 Diego Martin Central 59.77%
17 Naparima 65.53% 17 Port of Spain South 60.81%
18 Chaguanas West 76.14% 18 Tobago East 60.88%
Safe 19 Arouca/Maloney 63.10%
20 Port of Spain North/St. Ann's West 65.62%
21 Tobago West 73.48%
22 Laventille East/Morvant 76.84%
23 Laventille West 81.07%
Safe
Independent (Watson Duke)
1 Tobago East 53.78%
Safe
Tobago Forwards
1 Tobago West 67.24%
Safe
Source: Parliamentary Elections, 2015 Final Results - Candidates Vote Count[50]

Members of Parliament not standing for re-election

Trinidad

Retiring incumbent Electoral District Term in office Date announced
Surujrattan Rambachan UNC Tabaquite 2010-2020 14 August 2019[51]
Fuad Khan UNC Barataria/San Juan 1995-2007; 2010-2020 9 November 2019[52]
Ganga Singh UNC Chaguanas West 1995-2007 (Caroni East); 2015-2020 8 March 2020[53]
Maxie Cuffie PNM La Horquetta/Talparo 2015-2020 13 May 2020[54]
Tim Gopeesingh UNC Caroni East 2007-2020 4 June 2020[55]

Candidates by constituency

Candidate nominations for the election were finalized on Nomination Day (July 17, 2020). The full candidate list is presented below,[19] along with the incumbent candidates before the election.[56] Non-minister MPs who are not standing for re-election are marked (+)[57] Government ministers are in bold, and party leaders are in italics.

Trinidad

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
PNM UNC PEP Other
Arima Pennelope Beckles-Robinson Flora Singh Sharon Hernandez Nalini Dial (NCT)   Anthony Garcia
Arouca/Maloney Camille Robinson-Regis Cherry-Ann David Kelvin Wayne   Camille Robinson-Regis
Barataria/San Juan Jason 'JW' Williams Saddam Hosein Albertha Purdeen   + Fuad Khan
Caroni Central Reyad Ali Arnold Ram Lorena Lucien   Bhoendradatt Tewarie
Caroni East Sharon Archie Rishi Seecharran Dave Babwah   + Tim Gopeesingh
Chaguanas East Clarence Rambharat Vandana Mohit Matthew Gibbs Shiraz Khan (Ind.)   Fazal Karim
Chaguanas West Rackeal Bissoon Dinesh Rambally Rahman Ali (NNV)   + Ganga Singh
Couva North Sharda Satram Ravi Ratiram Rohanie Debideen Joel Ramdhanie (COP/Better United)   Ramona Ramdial
Couva South Rajendra Rampersad Rudranath Indarsingh Gerard Whyms Linnell Doolan (THC)   Rudranath Indarsingh
Cumuto/Manzanilla Ronney Lochan Rai Ragbir Anthony Henry Christopher Mathura (THC)   Christine Newallo-Hosein
D'Abadie/O'Meara Lisa Morris-Julian Maurice Hoyte Hadassah Charles-McLeod Peter Amann (NCT)   Ancil Antoine
Diego Martin Central Symon De Nobrega John Ricardo Laquis Felicia Holder Ashton Francis (NNV)

Garvin Nicholas (MND)

Renee St Rose (MSJ)

  Darryl Smith
Diego Martin North/East Colm Imbert Eli Zakour Phillip Edward Alexander Myron Bruce (MND)

Lonsdale Williams (COP/Better United)

  Colm Imbert
Diego Martin West Keith Rowley Marsha Riley-Walker Zafir David (THC)

Dexter Nicholls (MND)

  Keith Rowley
Fyzabad Solange De Souza Lackram Bodoe Alice Narine Radhaka Gualbance (MSJ)   Lackram Bodoe
La Brea Stephen McClatchie Victor Roberts Rondoll Glasgow Callum Marshall (NNV)   Nicole Olivierre
La Horquetta/Talparo Foster Cummings Jearlean John Benet Thomas   + Maxie Cuffie
Laventille East/Morvant Adrian Leonce Kareem Baird Christopher Roberts Umar Khan (NNV)   Adrian Leonce
Laventille West Fitzgerald Hinds Rodney Stowe Natalia Moore Sandra Emmanuel (NNV)

Kurt Sinnette (COP/Better United)

Kirk Waithe (NOW)

  Fitzgerald Hinds
Lopinot/Bon Air West Marvin Gonzales Prakash Williams Dominique Lopez Jack Warner (ILP)   Cherrie Ann Crichlow-Cockburn
Mayaro Bunny Mahabirsingh Rushton Paray Sterling Lee Ha   Rushton Paray
Moruga/Tableland Winston 'Gypsy' Peters Michelle Benjamin Steve Alvarez (DPTT/Better United)

Larry Sanchar (THC)

Thomas Sotillio (Ind.)

  Lovell Francis
Naparima Randy Sinanan Rodney Charles   Rodney Charles
Oropouche East Clifford Rambharose Roodal Moonilal   Roodal Moonilal
Oropouche West Lea Ramoutar Davendranath Tancoo Sasha Ali   Vidia Gayadeen-Goopeesingh
Point Fortin Kennedy Richards Jr. Taharqa Obika Kenesha Ramsoondar Ernesto Kesar (MSJ)

Nicholas Anthony Williams (TTDF)

  Edmund Dillon
Pointe-à-Pierre Daniel Dookie David Lee Marvyn Howard David Abdulah (MSJ)   David Lee
Port of Spain North/St. Ann's West Stuart Young Darren Garner Limma Mc Leod Kenneth Munroe-Brown (UPP)   Stuart Young
Port of Spain South Keith Scotland Curtis Orr Gail Castanada Fuad Abu Bakr (NNV)   Marlene McDonald
Princes Town Sharon Baboolal Barry Padarath Kim Young Low   Barry Padarath
San Fernando East Brian Manning Monifa Andrews   Randall Mitchell
San Fernando West Faris Al-Rawi Sean Sobers Benison Jagessar Nikoli Edwards (Progressive)

Valmiki Ramsingh (TNP)

  Faris Al-Rawi
Siparia Rebecca Dipnarine Kamla Persad-Bissessar   Kamla Persad-Bissessar
St. Ann's East Nyan Gadsby-Dolly Kenya Charles Akil Camps   Nyan Gadsby-Dolly
St. Augustine Renuka Sagramsingh-Sookal Khadijah Ameen Satesh Ramsaran Michlin Hosein-Phelps (THC)

Carolyn Seepersad-Bachan (COP/Better United)

  Prakash Ramadhar
St. Joseph Terrence Deyalsingh Ahloy Hunt Errol Fabien (Ind./Better United) [23]

Joel Williams (THC)

  Terrence Deyalsingh
Tabaquite Michael Seales Anita Haynes Carl Henry   + Surujrattan Rambachan
Toco/Sangre Grande Roger Munroe Nabila Greene Kevon Hernandez   Glenda Jennings-Smith
Tunapuna Esmond Forde David Nakhid Maurice Downes Marcus Ramkissoon (THC)   Esmond Forde

Tobago

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
PNM PDP OTV UTP Other
Tobago East Ayanna Webster-Roy Watson Duke Juliana Henry-King   Ayanna Webster-Roy
Tobago West Shamfa Cudjoe Tashia Grace Burris Nickocy Phillips Ricardo Phillip (Ind.)   Shamfa Cudjoe

Campaign slogans

Party Slogan
PNM "The right choice."[58][59]
UNC "Now is the time."[60]
COP "Making the quantum leap."[61]
DPTT "The way forward for Trinidad and Tobago."[62]
TTDF "People first."[24]
PEP "Time for real change."[63]
THC "Good governance is at your fingertips."[64]
NNV "Believe in better."[65]
MSJ "Create a balance."[27]
MND "We are from Diego Martin, for Diego Martin."[66]
NCT "Think before you ink."[30]
ILP "Performance, Representation, Action" [67]
TNP "Change not exchange!"[32]
UPP
Progressive "Progressive 2020. The new normal."[68]
  • Progressive Party - De Guiding Flame (2020)[69]
NOW "Time is now."[70]
PDP "People before politics."[71]
OTV "Tobago must play as a team or lose by the fault."[36]
UTP

Opinion polls

The North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) based in New York (led by political analyst Vishnu Bisram), pollster Nigel Henry's Solution by Simulation and pollster Louis Bertrand's H.H.B (H.H.B) & Associates have commissioned opinion polling for the next general election sampling the electorates' opinions.

Graphical summary

Seat projections

Date[nb 1] Pollster Sample size PNM UNC COP Other Legislative majority
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election - 22 19 0 0 3
10 Jul 2020 2020 Trinidad protests end
3 Jul 2020 Prime Minister Keith Rowley announces that the election will take place on 10 August 2020 and parliament is dissolved.
30 Jun 2020 2020 Trinidad protests begin
1 Jun 2020 COVID-19 lockdown ends
6 May 2020 Ancil Dennis becomes Chief Secretary of Tobago[72][73]
14 Apr 2020 COP, PPM, DPTT and TTDF agree to form a coalition[74]
30 Mar 2020 Trinidad and Tobago commences a nationwide lockdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic
12 Mar 2020 The first case of COVID-19 is confirmed in Trinidad and Tobago, pre-campaigning partially suspended on 13 March[75][76]
26 Jan 2020 2020 Tobago Council of the PNM election; Tracy Davidson-Celestine is elected leader
2 Dec 2019 PNM wins more districts, ties in number of corporations won and loses the popular vote to the UNC in the 2019 Trinidadian local elections
1 Oct 2019 The 2019 budget is delivered
Aug 2019 NACTA/Newday[77] - 23 18 0 0 5
Apr 2019 NACTA/Newsday[78] - 26 15 0 0 11
Mar 2019 NACTA/Newsday[79] 540 25 16 0 0 9
1 Oct 2018 The 2018 budget is delivered
Sep 2018 NACTA/Newsday[80] - 23 18 0 0 5
16 July 2018 Barataria and Belmont East Local Government By-Elections
19 Jan 2018 2018 Trinidad and Tobago presidential election; Paula-Mae Weekes is elected president
19 Nov 2017 Carolyn Seepersad-Bachan is elected leader of the COP[21][81][82][83]
23 Jan 2017 The Tobago Council of the PNM wins the 2017 Tobago House of Assembly election; Kelvin Charles becomes Chief Secretary of Tobago
7 Oct 2017 The 2017 budget is delivered
28 Nov 2016 PNM wins the 2016 Trinidadian local elections but loses the popular vote to the UNC
30 Sep 2016 The 2016 budget is delivered
10 Jul 2016 Anirudh Mahabir is elected leader of the COP[84][85]
3 Jul 2016 Kelvin Charles is elected leader of the Tobago Council of the PNM[86]
15 Dec 2015 The People's Partnership splits up[87]
7 Dec 2015 PNM wins the Auzonville/Tunapuna and Malabar South Local Government By-Elections
28 Sep 2015 The 2015 budget is delivered
9 Sep 2015 Keith Rowley is sworn in as Prime Minister of Trinidad and Tobago
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election - 23 17 1 0 5

Individual polls

Date[nb 1] Pollster Sample size PNM UNC PDP PEP COP Other Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election - 49.1 47.1 1.6 0.9 0.1 1.3 1.99
July 24-31, 2020 SBS/Express[88] 473 43 38 1 1 - 1 5
July 25, 2020 NACTA/Newsday[89] - 44 45 - - - - 1
July 2020 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[90] 600 35 29 - - 0 2 6
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election - 51.7 39.6 - - 6.0 3.7 12.1

Regional/Subnational polls

Tobago East

Date[nb 1] Pollster Sample size PNM PDP Other Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election - 54.35 44.74 0.91 9.61
July 2020 NACTA/Newsday[91] (380) 47 42 11 5
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election - 69.48 - 30.52 53.78

Tobago West

Date[nb 1] Pollster PNM PDP Other Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election - 66.81 32.42 0.77 34.39
July 2020 NACTA/Newsday[91] (380) 48 40 12 9
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election - 79.20 - 20.8 67.24

Moruga/Tableland

Date[nb 1] Pollster Sample size PNM UNC Other Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election - 35.92 52.34 11.74 16.42
July 25, 2020 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[92] 200 34 23 43 11
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election - 51.15 48.62 0.23 2.53

St. Joseph

Date[nb 1] Pollster PNM UNC Other Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election - 51.42 46.96 1.62 4.46
July 25, 2020 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[92] 200 40 31 29 9
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election - 53.77 45.44 0.79 8.33

San Fernando West

Date[nb 1] Pollster PNM UNC Other Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election - 54.51 42.87 2.62 11.64
July 25, 2020 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[93] - 49 29 22 20
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election - 59.24 39.85 0.91 19.39

Tunapuna

Date[nb 1] Pollster PNM UNC Other Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election - 54.63 43.51 1.86 11.12
July 25, 2020 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[94] - 39 23 38 16
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election - 59.42 40.29 0.29 19.13

Toco/Sangre Grande

Date[nb 1] Pollster Sample size PNM UNC Other Lead
10 Aug 2020 2020 general election - 58.66 40.10 1.24 18.23
July 25, 2020 H.H.B. & Associates/Guardian Media[95] - 32 19 49 13
7 Sep 2015 2015 general election - 59.04 39.84 0.91 19.20

Satisfaction

Preferred Prime Minister

Government direction

Date[nb 1] Polling organisation Interview Mode Right direction Wrong direction Lead
4 August 2020 SBS/Express[88] Telephone 473 47 41 6
24 September 2017 NACTA[99] Face-to-face 390 n/a 89 n/a
1-3 September 2017 H.H.B. & Associates[100] Telephone 301 n/a 83 n/a
July 2017 NACTA[99] Face-to-face 410 n/a 85 n/a
June 2017 NACTA[99] Face-to-face 380 n/a 83 n/a

Voter demographics

Voter demographic data for 2020 were collected by Solution by Simulation Ltd (SBS) for the Trinidad Express Newspapers completed by 473 likely voters in Trinidad and Tobago by phone and H.H.B. & Associates for the Trinidad and Tobago Guardian completed by 600 registered voters face-to-face suggested the following demographic breakdown:

2020 Trinidad & Tobago general election voter demographics (SBS)[88][102][103]
Social group %PNM %UNC % Lead
Total vote 43 38 5
Voter expectation (Better chance of winning) 47 35 12
Gender
Women n/a n/a n/a
Age
18-39 50 42 8
40-64 41 35 6
65+ 45 42 3
First time voter
Yes n/a n/a n/a
Employment
Employed n/a n/a n/a
Retirees n/a n/a n/a
Unemployed n/a n/a n/a
Race/ethnic group
African descent 77 13 64
East Indian descent 10 77 67
Mixed descent 48 23 25
Traditional election vote
PNM 85 9 76
UNC 11 82 71
Floating / 3rd Party 30 26 4
Country direction
Believes country is in right direction 77 11 66
Believes country is on wrong track 9 72 63
Likeliness of voting
Very Likely 46 39 7
Somewhat Likely 22 31 9
Issue regarded as most important
Coronavirus 65 18 47
Corruption 31 48 17
Crime 36 50 14
Economy 26 53 27
Performance-minded and issue-based voters
Performance-minded 37 50 13
Issue-based 64 27 37
Quality of representation over other concerns n/a n/a n/a
Public perception
Ability to build and maintain infrastructure n/a n/a 8
Ability to reduce crime n/a n/a n/a
COVID-19
More capable of handling the pandemic n/a n/a n/a
2020 Trinidad & Tobago general election voter demographics in Trinidad (H.H.B. & Associates)[104]
Social group %PNM %UNC %COP %Others % Lead
Total vote 35.10 29.10 0.40 1.60 6.00
Race/ethnic group
Afro-Trinidadian 61.20 5.70 0.00 2.40 55.50
Indo-Trinidadian 7.30 54.70 0.00 0.40 47.40
Other / Mixed 44.10 18.90 1.80 2.70 25.20
Top Three Issues
Utilities (Water, light, etc) 30 34 4
Unemployment/Jobs 35 36 1
Youth training and development 40 n/a n/a
Race/ethnic group %Keith Rowley %Kamla Persad-Bissessar %Other Person % Lead
Best Prime Minister
Afro-Trinidadian 67.9 7.7 11.0 60.2
Indo-Trinidadian 10.8 61.2 12.5 50.4
Other / Mixed 45.0 26.1 9.0 18.9

Results

At 10:30 pm on Election Day, Prime Minister Keith Rowley declared his party the winner of the election with 22 seats.[105][106][107][108][109][110] UNC leader Persad-Bissessar declared wins in 19 seats, taking the Moruga/Tableland seat from the PNM and the St. Augustine seat from the COP.[111] She disagreed with Rowley's victory declaration and objected to the long delays at polling stations.[112]

In total, six seats won by the PNM were disputed: the UNC requested recounts for five constituencies in Trinidad (San Fernando West, St Joseph, Tunapuna, Toco-Sangre Grande and La Horquetta/Talparo),[113] while the Progressive Democratic Patriots (PDP) requested a recount in Tobago East.[114] The EBC took one week to conduct the recounts, observing only minor changes from the preliminary vote counts: the largest change was an increase of 103 votes for the UNC in San Fernando West. The counts for the other districts differed by ten votes or fewer.[11] Rowley and the new PNM cabinet were then sworn in by President Paula-Mae Weekes on the following day, August 19. The ceremony was held at President's House.[13]

Trinité-et-Tobago Chambre des représentants 2020.svg
PartyVotes%+/-Seats+/-
People's National Movement322,25049.08-2.6022-1
United National Congress309,18847.09+7.4819+2
Progressive Democratic Patriots10,3671.58New0New
Progressive Empowerment Party5,9330.90New0New
Independent Liberal Party3,8170.58-0.1200
Movement for Social Justice1,2230.19New0New
Movement for National Development1,0390.16New0New
COP-DPTT-TTDF5240.08-5.930-1
New National Vision4930.08-0.0400
Trinidad Humanity Campaign3660.06+0.0400
National Organisation of We the People3100.05New0New
National Coalition for Transformation2340.04-0.0100
Progressive Party2110.03New0New
One Tobago Voice800.01New0New
Unrepresented Peoples Party730.01New0New
Unity of the People400.01New0New
The National Party230.00New0New
Independents3510.05-0.2700
Total656,522100.00-410
Valid votes656,52299.73
Invalid/blank votes1,7750.27
Total votes658,297100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,134,13558.04
Source: EBCTT, IPU

Reactions

Domestic reactions

Regional reactions

  •  CARICOM
    • "Prime Minister, your success at the polls is an indication of the confidence that the people of Trinidad and Tobago have in your stewardship and the plans you have outlined for their future," Ambassador LaRocque said in his congratulatory message to Dr. Rowley.[119][120]
  •  CARICOM /  St. Vincent and the Grenadines
  •  St. Lucia
    • Prime Minister of Saint Lucia Allen Chastanet, in a statement expressed: "Congratulations to Dr. Keith Rowley and the People's National Movement on their new mandate to continue serving Trinidad & Tobago for 5 more years. We wish you, your team and the people of T&T great success throughout this new term and we look forward to working together to build a more united and prosperous region ?"[123][124][125]
  •  Belize
    • The Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Belize) tweeted: "Congratulations to Hon. @DrKeithRowley on his successful re-election as Prime Minister of the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago @OPM_TT during yesterday's general elections held in challenging circumstances occasioned by the #COVID19 pandemic "[126]
  •  Antigua and Barbuda
    • Prime Minister of Antigua and Barbuda Gaston Browne in a letter sent congratulations to Trinidad and Tobago Prime Minister Dr Keith Rowley on his impending re-election, stating "I wish your Government and the people of Trinidad and Tobago every good fortune as you continue to the task of strengthening your great country."[127][128]
  •  Grenada
    • Prime Minister of Grenada Keith Mitchell congrated Prime Minister Rowley indicating that "the results show that the people of Trinidad and Tobago are confident in Dr Rowley's leadership abilities, and are looking to you for continued direction to steer the country further along the path of development. With the support of his Cabinet and people, I am confident Dr Rowley will succeed in pushing forward the country's agenda, so that everyone can benefit.'[129][130]
    • Leader of the largest opposition party in Grenada Franka Bernardine on behalf of her party National Democratic Congress and the people of Grenada congratuled Prime Minsiter Rowley on his re-election as Prime Minister of the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago noting 'the use of the virtual platform was new and added a unique dynamic to an already robust and grounded PNM team. The sharp focus and hard work of your campaign team were, no doubt vital to your success.'"[131][132]
  •  St. Kitts and Nevis
  •  Guyana
  •  Montserrat
    • Premier of Montserrat Joseph Farrell issued a diplomatic note stating "It is truly my great honour, on behalf of the Government and people of Montserrat, to extend best wishes to you and the People's National Movement (PNM) in the fulfillment of this high office for which you were successfully returned for another term."[135]

International reactions

See also

Footnotes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

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