All 12 seats in the Tobago House of Assembly
7 seats needed for a majority
|Turnout||52% ( 2 pp)|
Current map of the 12 electoral districts of Tobago, used to elect members to the House of Assembly
The 2021 Tobago House of Assembly (THA) election was held on 25 January 2021 where 12 members were elected in the eleventh election since the Assembly was established in 1980, this election marked the first time in history that both parties elected, the People's National Movement (PNM) and Progressive Democratic Patriots (PDP) won an equal number seats, despite the PNM winning the popular vote, resulting in a constitutional crisis with both political parties and Prime Minister Keith Rowley seeking Senior counsel advice on the way forward, this election was the first time after 20 years in power that the PNM lost its absolute majority. This election also marked the first time a female political leader was elected to the Assembly and the first time a woman led a major political party or a political party with representation in the Assembly, following the 2020 Tobago Council of the People's National Movement leadership election where Health Secretary, councillor and former Trinidad and Tobago Ambassador to Costa Rica and former Deputy Chief Secretary of Tobago Tracy Davidson-Celestine made history by being elected as the PNM's first female political leader at the regional or national level and one of the first bilingual political leaders in the country's history. If Davidson-Celestine and the PNM were to be elected with a majority to their sixth consecutive term in office, she would have made history, becoming the first female Chief Secretary of Tobago. The election was held alongside local by-elections in Trinidad in which the PNM and UNC retained two districts and the PNM losing one to the UNC.
The governing Tobago Council of the People's National Movement led by Kelvin Charles were able to retain a strong majority in the Assembly, though not as impressive as their total sweep of all 12 seats in the previous election. Charles became Chief Secretary following the retirement of his predecessor Orville London.
In 2020 Kelvin Charles lost re-election as Leader of the Tobago Council of the People's National Movement and was replaced by Tracy Davidson-Celestine. Days before a vote of no-confidence in Chief Secretary Kelvin Charles petitioned by eight of the 12 members of the THA to Presiding Officer Vanessa Cutting-Thomas, Charles resigned as Chief Secretary and was replaced by elected assembly member Ancil Dennis with Davidson-Celestine, who is not an elected member of the assembly, being appointed as a councilor in the THA and Health Secretary.
At the 2020 general election, there was no net change in the number of seats for each party, the PNM decreased their vote share to 61% but was able to retain both seats. The PDP managed 39% of the vote.
All Tobagonians and Commonwealth citizens aged 18 or over, legally resident in Tobago and who have resided in an electoral district for at least two months prior to the election date are entitled to vote in the elections.
Political parties registered with the Elections And Boundaries Commission can contest the House of Assembly election as a party. The following registered parties are contesting the House of Assembly election:
|Party||Founded||Ideology||Lead candidate||Lead candidate's seat||Leader(s)||Leader since||Leader's seat||Last election||Seats at dissolution||Seats contesting||Notes|
|% party vote||Seats|
|PNM||1955||Centre to centre-left, Liberalism, Social liberalism, Moderate nationalism||Tracy Davidson-Celestine||Ran in Lambeau/Signal Hill (won)||Tracy Davidson-Celestine||January 25 2020||Ran in Lambeau/Signal Hill (won)||12 seats|
|PDP||2016||Tobago regionalism||Farley Chavez Augustine||Parlatuvier/ L'Anse Fourmi/Speyside||Watson Duke||July 2016||Belle Garden East/Roxborough/Delaford||12 seats|
|UTP||2020||Tobago regionalism||Nickocy Phillips||Buccoo/Mount Pleasant||Nickocy Phillips||July 2020||Ran in Buccoo/Mount Pleasant (lost)||not founded||--||--||1 seat|
|CARM||2010||Tobago regionalism||Ricardo Phillip||Buccoo/Mount Pleasant||Ricardo Phillip||January 2010||Ran in Buccoo/Mount Pleasant (lost)||--||--||--||1 seat||--|
On 24 November 2019, incumbent Minority Leader in the Tobago House of Assembly and Progressive Democratic Patriots (PDP) political leader and Public Services Association President Watson Duke publicly endorsed incumbent assembly member for Parlatuvier/ L'Anse Fourmi/Speyside and PDP deputy political leader, Farley Chavez Augustine, as the party's lead candidate for the election. Following the 2020 Tobago Council of the People's National Movement leadership election held on January 19, 2020, Tracy Davidson-Celestine was elected as the party's first female political leader and thus the lead candidate for the PNM.
Both the PNM and PDP announced candidates in all 12 districts. Former Presiding Officer of the Tobago House of Assembly and defeated candidate in the 2020 Tobago Council of the PNM leadership election, Denise Tsoiafatt Angus, who endorsed Davidson Celestine in the second round of the 2020 Tobago Council of the People's National Movement leadership election, filed to run in as an independent candidate in the electoral district of Scarborough/ Calder Hall on January 4, after not being chosen to represent the party for the seat of Scarborough/ Calder Hall, despite being the choice of three out of five PNM party groups. Other candidates include defeated 2020 general election candidates for the constituency of Tobago West and political leaders of the UTP and CARM respectively Ricardo Phillip and Nickocy Phillips and veteran journalist Anthony Hector.
Autonomy, corruption, specifically with respect to an incomplete Main Ridge Forest zip line project and the leadership role of controversial PDP political leader and Public Services Association President Watson Duke and his treatment towards women were persistently covered in the media in the lead up to the election. PDP deputy political leader Farley Chavez Augustine said that a 2016 Auditor General management letter on the Main Ridge Forest zipline project revealed that only rope was discovered when the department searched for the $2.5 million material and equipment spent by the Assembly, on the zipline while Davidson Celestine was Tourism and Transport Secretary. The PNM-led Assembly and Prime Minister Keith Rowley has denied any truth to the corruption allegations, stating that although the PNM is not perfect, the party is not corrupt. The PNM has made allegations that the PDP intends to separate Tobago from Trinidad and has been accused of bringing racism into the campaign by alleging that the PDP is a proxy for the United National Congress (UNC), linking both the UNC and PDP to Trumpism and calling PDP political leader Watson Duke, Tobago's Trump. Duke, who was charged with rape in 2016 and sedition in 2020, has made headlines on the campaign for his past comments/actions with respect to women.
The following lists identify and rank seats by the margin by which the party's candidate finished behind the winning candidate in the 2017 election.
For information purposes only, seats that have changed hands through subsequent byelections have been noted. Seats whose members have changed party allegiance are ignored.
|1||Parlatuvier/ L'Anse Fourmi/Speyside||7.91%||1||Goodwood/Belle Garden West||0.23%|
|2||Belle Garden East/Roxborough/Delaford||13.80%||2||Providence/ Mason Hall/Moriah||14.11%|
|5||Scarborough/ Calder Hall||33.69%|
|7||Black Rock/Whim/Spring Garden||38.33%|
|8||Bacolet/Mount. St. George||41.01%|
|Source: Tobago House of Assembly Elections, 2017 - Final Result|
|Retiring incumbent||Electoral District||Term in office||Date announced|
|Jomo Pitt||Tobago Council of the People's National Movement||Lambeau/Signal Hill||2013-2021||26 June 2020|
|Tobago Council of the People's National Movement||Progressive Democratic Patriots||Other|
|Bacolet/Mount. St. George||Joel Jack
|Belle Garden East/Roxborough/Delaford||Neil Beckles
|Bethel/Mt. Irvine||Shomari Hector
|Black Rock/Whim/Spring Garden||Kelvon Morris
|Anthony Hector (Ind.)
|+ Kelvin Charles|
|Buccoo/Mount Pleasant||Ancil Dennis
|Ricardo Phillip (UTP)
Nickocy Phillips (CARM)
|Canaan/Bon Accord||Clarence Jacob
|Goodwood/Belle Garden West||Boxil Bailey
|§ Hayden Spencer|
|Lambeau/Signal Hill||Tracy Davidson-Celestine
|+ Jomo Pitt|
|Parlatuvier/ L'Anse Fourmi/Speyside||Rory Dillon
|Farley Chavez Augustine
|Farley Chavez Augustine|
|Plymouth/Golden Lane||Melissa James Guy
|§ Marisha Osmond|
|Providence/ Mason Hall/Moriah||Kwesi Des Vignes
|§ Sheldon Cunningham|
|Scarborough/ Calder Hall||Marslyn Melville-Jack
|Denise Tsoiafatt Angus (Ind.)
|PNM||"Building Tobago Together"||
||PNM Tobago Council THA Manifesto 2021-2025|
|PDP||"Let's Transform Tobago"||
The North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) commissioned an opinion poll for the election sampling the electorate's opinion.
|25 January 2021||2021 election||-||6||6||0|
|23 January 2021||Trinidad and Tobago Guardian/NACTA poll||-||11||1||0||10|
|8 January 2021||Trinidad and Tobago Guardian/NACTA poll||-||9 (+2)||1 (+2)||0||6 (+4)|
|23 January 2017||2017 election||-||10||2||0||8|
|Date[nb 1]||Pollster||Sample size||PNM||PDP||Other||Lead|
|25 January 2021||2021 election||-||50.4||48.5||1.1||1.9|
|23 January 2021||Trinidad and Tobago Guardian/NACTA poll||-||52||44||-||8|
|23 January 2017||2017 election||-||54.7||31.0||14.06||23.7|
The tables below list the public approval ratings of the leaders and leading candidates of the main political parties in Tobago.
|Polling firm/Commissioner||Fieldwork date||Sample size||Tracy Davidson-Celestine|
|Trinidad and Tobago Guardian/NACTA poll||23 January 2021||-||52||27||21||+25|
|Polling firm/Commissioner||Fieldwork date||Sample size||Farley Chavez Augustine |
|Trinidad and Tobago Guardian/NACTA poll||23 January 2021||-||43||39||18||+4|
|Polling firm/Commissioner||Fieldwork date||Sample size||Watson Duke |
|Trinidad and Tobago Guardian/NACTA poll||23 January 2021||-||?||?||?||+2|
|Tobago Council of the People's National Movement||13,288||50.36||6||-4|
|Progressive Democratic Patriots||12,798||48.50||6||+4|
|Unity of the People||9||0.03||0||New|
|Class Action Reform Movement||9||0.03||0||New|
|Electoral District||Turnout||Previous control||Result|
|Bacolet/Mount. St. George||PNM||PNM|
|Belle Garden East/Roxborough/Delaford||PDP||PDP|
|Black Rock/Whim/Spring Garden||PNM||PNM|
|Goodwood/Belle Garden West||PNM||PDP|
|Parlatuvier/ L'Anse Fourmi/Speyside||PDP||PDP|
|Providence/ Mason Hall/Moriah||PNM||PDP|
|Scarborough/ Calder Hall||PNM||PNM|
Trinidad and Tobago's parliament voted on 20 February in favour of a law increasing the number of seats in the Tobago's regional assembly to an uneven 15, which is expected to be followed by early election once new constituencies are drawn, in order to avoid potential seat ties in the future. On September 15th, the Trinidad and Tobago House of Representatives passed the EBC (Local Government and Tobago House of Assembly) (Tobago) Order by a margin of 21-18, after which it must pass the Senate before being signed into law by the President. The bill added three new seats - Lambeau/Lowlands, Darryl Spring/Whim, and Mt St George/Goodwood. All but two of the original districts would also be modified slightly under the bill.